Uncertainty-Aware Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Hallucination Detection and Factuality Calibration
Keywords:
retrieval-augmented generation, hallucination detection, uncertainty calibration, factuality, multi-source retrieval, governance, socio-technical systemsAbstract
Retrieval-augmented generation has become a central architecture for grounding large language models in external evidence, yet it does not eliminate hallucination. Retrieval can return stale, contradictory, or weakly relevant passages; generation can misread evidence; and fusion mechanisms can privilege fluent synthesis over verifiable attribution. This paper develops a system-level account of uncertainty-aware retrieval-augmented generation for hallucination detection and factuality calibration. It argues that uncertainty should be treated as a distributed property of the retrieval pipeline, the generator, the fusion layer, and the human-machine interface rather than as a single post hoc confidence score. The paper examines architectural trade-offs among sparse and dense retrieval, multi-source fusion, reranking, evidence attribution, calibration, and real-time deployment. It then connects those technical choices to governance, auditability, fairness, sustainability, and policy. The central claim is that reliable factuality requires calibrated uncertainty signals that are actionable at the point of decision, visible to users, and accountable within institutions. By integrating uncertainty estimation with retrieval provenance, attention-based fusion, and verification workflows, systems can detect hallucination more robustly and calibrate factuality in ways that support trust without implying infallibility. The paper concludes with future directions for adaptive retrieval, multimodal grounding, and regulated deployment.
References
1. Lewis, P., Perez, E., Piktus, A., Petroni, F., Karpukhin, V., Goyal, N., Küttler, H., Lewis, M., Yih, W., Rocktäschel, T., Riedel, S., & Kiela, D. (2020). Retrieval-augmented generation for knowledge-intensive NLP tasks. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 33, 9459–9474.
2. Borgeaud, S., Mensch, A., Hoffmann, J., Cai, T., Rutherford, E., Millican, K., van den Driessche, G., Lespiau, J.-B., Damoc, B., Clark, A., de Las Casas, D., Guy, A., Menick, J., Ring, R., Driessche, G., ... & Sifre, L. (2022). Improving language models by retrieving from trillions of tokens. In Proceedings of the 39th International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 2206–2240). PMLR.
3. Guu, K., Lee, K., Tung, Z., Pasupat, P., & Chang, M. W. (2020). Retrieval augmented language model pre-training. In Proceedings of the 37th International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 3929–3938). PMLR.
4. Karpukhin, V., Oğuz, B., Min, S., Lewis, P., Wu, L., Edunov, S., Chen, D., & Yih, W. (2020). Dense passage retrieval for open-domain question answering. In Proceedings of the 2020 Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing (pp. 6769–6781). Association for Computational Linguistics.
5. Izacard, G., & Grave, E. (2021). Leveraging passage retrieval with generative models for open domain question answering. In Proceedings of the 16th Conference of the European Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics (pp. 874–880). Association for Computational Linguistics.
6. Ji, Z., Lee, N., Frieske, R., Yu, T., Su, D., Xu, Y., Ishii, E., Bang, Y. J., Madotto, A., & Fung, P. (2023). Survey of hallucination in natural language generation. ACM Computing Surveys, 55(12), 1–38. https://doi.org/10.1145/3571730
7. Deng, Q., Liu, S., Qiu, H., Long, N., Lin, W., & Chen, S. (2026, April). Unified Semantic Space and Attention-Based Fusion Framework for Multi-Source Heterogeneous Retrieval-Augmented Generation. In 2026 6th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Industrial Technology Applications (AIITA) (pp. 591-597). IEEE.
8. Maynez, J., Narayan, S., Bohnet, B., & McDonald, R. (2020). On faithfulness and factuality in abstractive summarization. In Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (pp. 1906–1919). Association for Computational Linguistics.
9. Rashkin, H., Nikolaev, V., Lamm, M., Aroyo, L., Collins, M., Das, D., Petrov, S., Tomar, G. S., Turc, I., & Reitter, D. (2021). Measuring attribution in natural language generation models. arXiv preprint arXiv:2112.12870.
10. Kadavath, S., Conerly, T., Askell, A., Henighan, T., Drain, D., Perez, E., Schiefer, N., Hatfield-Dodds, Z., DasSarma, N., Tran-Johnson, E., ... & Kaplan, J. (2022). Language models (mostly) know what they know. arXiv preprint arXiv:2207.05221.
11. Lin, S., Hilton, J., & Evans, O. (2022). Teaching models to express their uncertainty in words. Transactions on Machine Learning Research. https://arxiv.org/abs/2205.14334
12. Guo, C., Pleiss, G., Sun, Y., & Weinberger, K. Q.Guo, C., Pleiss, G., Sun, Y., & Weinberger, K. Q. (2017). On calibration of modern neural networks. In Proceedings of the 34th International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 1321–1330). PMLR.
13. Gal, Y., & Ghahramani, Z. (2016). Dropout as a Bayesian approximation: Representing model uncertainty in deep learning. In Proceedings of the 33rd International Conference on Machine Learning (pp. 1050–1059). PMLR.
14. Lakshminarayanan, B., Pritzel, A., & Blundell, C. (2017). Simple and scalable predictive uncertainty estimation using deep ensembles. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 30 (pp. 6402–6413). Curran Associates.
15. Amodei, D., Olah, C., Steinhardt, J., Christiano, P., Schulman, J., & Mané, D. (2016). Concrete problems in AI safety. arXiv preprint arXiv:1606.06565.
16. Weidinger, L., Uesato, J., Rauh, M., Griffin, C., Huang, P.-S., Mellor, J., Glaese, A., Cheng, M., Balle, B., Kasirzadeh, A., Biles, C., Brown, S., Kenton, Z., Hawkins, W., Stepleton, T., Birhane, A., Hendricks, L. A., Rimell, L., Isaac, W., ... & Gabriel, I. (2022). Taxonomy of risks posed by language models. In Proceedings of the 2022 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency (pp. 214–229). ACM. https://doi.org/10.1145/3531146.3533088
17. Bender, E. M., Gebru, T., McMillan-Major, A., & Shmitchell, S. (2021). On the dangers of stochastic parrots: Can language models be too big? In Proceedings of the 2021 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency (pp. 610–623). ACM. https://doi.org/10.1145/3442188.3445922
18. Bommasani, R., Hudson, D. A., Adeli, E., Altman, R., Arora, S., von Arx, S., Bernstein, M. S., Bohg, J., Bosselut, A., Brunskill, E., Brynjolfsson, E., Buch, S., Card, D., Castellon, R., Chatterji, N., Chen, A., Creel, K., Davis, J. Q., Demszky, D., ... & Liang, P. (2021). On the opportunities and risks of foundation models. arXiv preprint arXiv:2108.07258.
19. Thorne, J., Vlachos, A., Christodoulopoulos, C., & Mittal, A. (2018). FEVER: A large-scale dataset for fact extraction and VERification. In Proceedings of the 2018 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Human Language Technologies (pp. 809–819). Association for Computational Linguistics. https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/N18-1074
20. Asai, A., Min, S., Zhong, Z., & Chen, D. (2023). Retrieval-based language models and applications. In Proceedings of the 61st Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Tutorial Abstracts (pp. 41–46). Association for Computational Linguistics. https://doi.org/10.18653/v1/2023.acl-tutorials.6
21. Gao, Y., Xiong, Y., Gao, X., Jia, K., Pan, J., Bi, Y., Dai, Y., Sun, J., Wang, M., & Wang, H. (2023). Retrieval-augmented generation for large language models: A survey. arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.10997.
22. Liu, N. F., Lin, K., Hewitt, J., Paranjape, A., Bevilacqua, M., Petroni, F., & Liang, P. (2023). Lost in the middle: How language models use long contexts. arXiv preprint arXiv:2307.03172.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning Systems

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.